Jacoby Ellsbury 2014 Fantasy Profile

Jacoby Ellsbury got his big contract for the Yankees, and will require an equally high investment in fantasy draft rooms.  But what are you investing in exactly?  In 2013 Ellsbury put together a fine season:

Abs Runs Hits hrs rbi sb avg obp
577 92 172 9 53 52 0.298 0.355

The stolen bases really stand out in this stat line.  He will supply runs and a good batting average as well, but is he a first rounder?  I have found that you can typically find stolen bases later in the draft.  They may not come from as balanced of a player, but I’d prefer to pick up power in the early rounds.  You want to argue that Ellsbury can hit for power?  You think he will benefit from the jet stream going to right field at the new Yankee stadium?  Lets take a look.

In 2011 Ellsbury was fantasy gold, added power to his speed game.

Jacoby Ellsbury Abs Runs Hits hrs rbi sb avg obp
2011 660 119 212 32 105 39 0.321 0.376

I quite simply do not buy the power numbers, I think they were some sort of mirage.  His home run totals since have been, 4 and 9, and I do not think Yankee stadium will be a big help.  In that awesome 2011 season Ellsbury hit 4 home runs at Yankee stadium.

AB R H HR RBI SB BA OBP
2011 42 8 19 4 10 4 0.452 0.5

These are his career numbers at the new Yankee Stadium:

AB R H HR RBI SB BA OBP
Career 144 18 41 4 17 13 0.285 0.352

Notice the home run numbers are the same.  I will prefer to find my stolen bases elsewhere and wait on Ellsbury, unless he falls enough in draft, which I do not expect him too.

My 2014 Projection for Ellsbury:

AB H AVG R HR RBI SB
Jacoby Ellsbury 550 165 0.300 91 9 55 40
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