After Mike Trout and Miguel Cabrera the first round picks are open for debate. One player I find interesting in this mix is Carlos Gonzalez. Gonzalez had a strong year in 2013, and did so in only 391 at-bats. He did however strike out over 25% of his at-bats, which is worrisome, but also much higher than his previous seasons. It is as surprising as it is worrisome to note that he still hit over .300 while striking out at this rate.
The two previous years Gonzalez averaged 500 at bats. Had Gonzalez remained at his 500 at-bat average his numbers would have been stronger, potentially as a top 5 fantasy hitter. Gonzalez has experienced some injuries in his career that must be accounted for when deciding to take him in a draft. The other aspect of Cargo’s game is to analyze is his home ballpark. He enjoys hitting at Coors field for half his season, but is no slouch hitting on the road.
Cargo is also under contract with the Rockies until 2017, so the risk of his leaving the mile high stadium are minimal as well.
My 2014 projections for Gonzalez: